Mike Smith

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Month: February, 2014

Who is really holding the carrot?


As the international community has been hoping that its carrot and stick approach to dealing with Iran would pay off, the reality is that they have unloaded the wagon of all-bargaining power, and have nothing to show for it.  Iran for its part jumped at the initial offer, filled their coffers, stocked up on what they needed, and in exchange only made promises, giving up nothing.

Now Iran is looking for an extension to the deal.  Having positioned themselves as rational players, they are now demanding an extension citing that they have complied. In reality, Iran has maintained its pile of weapons grade material, and if they choose to, can restart or excel its enrichment program anytime, having lost nothing.

Sitting on the sidelines watching this is Israel. While the international community can claim to have Israel’s back, Israel is the only one in immediate proximity, as well as the recipient of repeated threats by Iran with being “wiped off the face of the earth.”  So where does this place Israel?  Regardless of the international communities actions, Israel remains the only one who can claim the right of unilateral action.  Just as America has the right to be pre-emptive in defending itself so to does Israel in deciding their course of action against Iran. 

The question that has to be asked, who is holding the carrot leading whom?

The Second Great Appeasement – Iran

If history has shown us anything, it is that appeasement of a regime bent on war and destruction of a race of people, only empowers the regime to grow bolder. Iran feeling empowered is now boldly looking for an extension of the original agreement, all the while giving up nothing that eventually could not be restarted and excelled at to their final goal.  The actions of the international community is paramount to letting the bank robber keep his gun and disguises as long as he says he will not do it again, but free to start up again untill caught.

As the international community ponders an extension of the 6-month deal, it has voluntarily removed its own teeth and is merely massaging Iran with its gums.  Iran sees no teeth to the bite, so fears nothing.  Having tasted the lifting of sanctions and the benefits that they are now achieving/enjoying, makes now the time for the international community to remind Iran, that anything short of a total elimination of all potential weapons grade material, or soon to be material, is the only acceptable condition for an extension. If Iran is sincere and wants to be welcomed back into the international community it must first rid itself of potential nuclear weapons grade material, and then denounce its threat to eliminate Israel from the face of the earth.

The international community took the first step, by agreeing to the primary agreement, now Iran needs to step forward and make its first step for an extension.  To do otherwise is to watch the world fall into another case of appeasement, and we all know how that last one turned out.